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Monday, October 12, 2026
Fortune Observer

The Venezuelan Crisis May Now Determine Trump's Political Legacy - as well as the United States' Position in the World

In the wake of executing a night of overwhelming force in Venezuela, Donald Trump now appears to be entering the state-building arena.

In a remarkable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago estate on Saturday morning, the president announced that US forces had successfully apprehended Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an late-night operation in Caracas.

Trump then announced that a team including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, working with Venezuelans, would be taking control of the beleaguered nation.

"We are going to run the country until such time as we can do a secure, proper and careful transition," he said.

What precisely "managing the nation" actually means is unclear, but the vow represents an abrupt policy reversal for the president, rife with contradictions and formidable challenges.

A leader who campaigned against "forever wars", who vehemently denounced past US attempts at regime change and who promised to implement an "America first" international policy is now gambling his presidency on successfully rebuilding a South American nation whose economy is collapsed and whose political stability has been undermined by years of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was persistently confident.

He said his administration has a "unblemished record of winning" – and that this will be no exception. He promised to enlist American oil firms to rebuild Venezuela's crumbling industrial infrastructure, providing funds for the American reconstruction efforts and benefitting the Venezuelan people.

He left open the possibility of sending American soldiers to Venezuela to advance these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he told reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US invasion of Iraq, will now have to heed the words of one of the American architects of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "You break it, you bought it."

An Altered International Stance

The US has altered Venezuela's prospects – for better or worse.

Trump entered office nearly a year ago promising to be a peacemaker, but over the past year he has proven that he is ready to use military force around the globe.

In the past week, he authorized airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he targeted nuclear facilities in Iran, alleged narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, rebel forces in Yemen, armed groups in Somalia and jihadist fighters in Iraq.

Unlike previous operations, which have largely involved missiles and aircraft that reduce the risk of American forces to danger, Trump's Venezuela strike – and his pledges to the fate of that nation – are notably distinct.

His objective, he said during his briefing, is to "restore Venezuela's greatness."

Domestic and International Reaction

That twist on Trump's "Make America Great Again" – or Maga - mantra may be hard for some of Trump's followers to swallow.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a former Trump ally who split from the president after accusing him of deserting his political base, was swift to condemn the president's actions on social media.

"Americans' disgust with our own government's endless use of force and backing for overseas conflicts is understandable because we are forced to pay for it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. Boy were we wrong."

Another notable Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, contrasted the official rationale for Maduro's arrest – on weapons and cocaine trafficking charges – with Trump's reasoning that the operation was to retake seized US oil and stop fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers rallied behind the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson characterizing the military action against a "illegitimate government" as "decisive and legitimate".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his press conference, the president said the Venezuelan operation advanced his "America First" agenda because it guaranteed US regional security and provided a steady source of oil.

He dusted off the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American diplomatic policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and renamed it the "Trump Doctrine."

The action in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US supremacy in the Western Hemisphere will not be challenged again."

The goal of the new US security policy, he said, was to "safeguard commerce, land and assets that are fundamental to our security interests." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "backyard."

Trump's choice to apprehend Maduro will provoke broader questions in global politics, however, and affect American ties with the world's other significant global powers.

The Chinese government issued a statement voicing surprise and denouncing what it said was a reckless assault on a independent country.

During the previous administration, the US offered similar condemnations of Russia following its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is attempting to broker a peace deal between those two nations – one that has frequently seemed to be more favourable to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a centrist Republican congressman, voiced concern about the message Trump's actions might send.

"My main concern is now Russia will use this to justify their unlawful and barbaric military actions against Ukraine, or China to rationalize an invasion of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic critics were more direct.

"America should not be administering other countries for any reason," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have understood by now not to get entangled in perpetual conflicts and overthrow attempts that carry devastating results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker stated Maduro is a lawbreaker and a autocrat with a record of human rights abuses. But he censured Trump's choice not to inform legislative leaders before launching the attack.

"The President has the legal duty to abide by the law and protect institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what putting America First requires."

Trump, in his press conference, said that he opted not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" details of the operation prior to the attack.

A Path Forward Shrouded in Doubt

That military operation was a success – with no American deaths and limited harm to US assets. Trump, with his typical bravado, described the operation as a "spectacular assault" and "among the most astonishing, successful and powerful demonstrations of American military might and competency in US history."

Now he is gambling his presidency on that victory enduring, as the US says it will take over running and rebuilding Venezuela - though what that actually means is unclear. He and his team must fortify a nation that has been in turmoil for decades while stabilising a hemisphere that is sure to be cautious of what Trump's foreign policy has in store for them.

Written by

Katherine Wright

A financial analyst with over 15 years of experience covering European markets and international trade dynamics.

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